Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · TLRY
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-10

$TLRY

Unclassified · convergence · conviction
Convergence Score
Conviction
Signals Firing
0
Track Record
2/2
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Why $TLRY?

TLRY -24 AVOID biotech

Quantitative

  • Net Income (CY2026Q1): $-26.6M (+96.6% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 4 convergent signals fired: xbrl_ni, auto_macro_move_index, auto_macro_mta_ridership, auto_macro_vix_term

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-24 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, biotech-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • DINO via energy r=-0.61 divergent (score -17)
  • TPET via energy r=-0.61 divergent (score -24)
  • BLLN via biotech r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 2)
  • MGRX via biotech r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -1)
  • LFVN via biotech r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -2)
  • CALC via biotech r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -4)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-07-29sec_top_gappers+6.5%+5.3%✓ hit
2026-07-29sec_top_moat_emerging+6.5%+5.3%✓ hit
Lifetime: 2/2 wins · hit-rate 100.0% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for TLRY. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.9% of the time across 374 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 41.0%. That is a +7.9 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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