What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for TOL?

As of 2026-09-21, TOL has a convergence score of — with conviction tier — and 0 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is TOL's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on TOL?

On the last 4 published picks featuring TOL, 0 hit the +2% intraday threshold (0% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

TOL — Catalyst score — (—) · Unclassified

$TOL

Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —

Convergence Score

—

Conviction

—

Signals Firing

Track Record

0/4

Price & Live Quote

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Why $TOL?

TOL -3 WATCH industrials

Quantitative

Net Income (CY2026Q2): $280.1M (-24.2% YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 8 convergent signals fired: sc13d, audit_extras, auto_macro_credit_spreads, auto_macro_edgar_fts, auto_macro_eia_petroleum

Risks

Position-sizing discipline: Conviction WATCH (-3 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, industrials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

RLMD via biotech r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 20)
COO via biotech r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 19)
AGNT via real_estate r=+0.78 sympathetic (score 25)
RITR via real_estate r=+0.78 sympathetic (score 8)
LXFR via materials r=+0.77 sympathetic (score 19)
ASPI via materials r=+0.77 sympathetic (score 16)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-09-01	sec_top_gappers	+1.3%	+0.3%	—
2026-09-01	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.3%	+0.3%	—
2026-08-31	sec_top_gappers	+0.2%	-2.3%	—
2026-08-31	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.2%	-2.3%	—

Lifetime: 0/4 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 49.5% of the time across 329 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.8%. That is a +8.7 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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