Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · TRAW
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05

$TRAW

biotech · convergence -13 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-13
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
5
Track Record
8/16
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Why $TRAW?

TRAW -13 AVOID biotech

Quantitative

  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $-3.1M (-233.8% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 5 convergent signals fired: earnings, sec_fda, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods, auto_macro_fx_rates

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-13 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Earnings binary: Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • APP via tech r=+0.81 sympathetic (score 19)
  • STEM via tech r=+0.81 sympathetic (score 19)
  • LBTYA via comms r=+0.62 sympathetic (score 16)
  • CHTR via comms r=+0.62 sympathetic (score 7)

Signals Firing

earningssec_fdaauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_rates
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-10-23sec_top_gappers+8.8%+0.0%✓ hit
2026-10-23sec_top_moat_emerging+8.8%+0.0%✓ hit
2026-10-22sec_top_gappers-5.4%-8.1%—
2026-10-22sec_top_moat_emerging-5.4%-8.1%—
2026-10-21sec_top_gappers+0.0%-2.6%—
2026-10-21sec_top_moat_emerging+0.0%-2.6%—
2026-10-20sec_top_gappers+2.6%+0.0%✓ hit
2026-10-20sec_top_moat_emerging+2.6%+0.0%✓ hit
2026-10-13sec_top_gappers+2.4%-2.4%✓ hit
2026-10-13sec_top_moat_emerging+2.4%-2.4%✓ hit
2026-10-12sec_top_gappers+2.4%-2.4%✓ hit
2026-10-12sec_top_moat_emerging+2.4%-2.4%✓ hit
Lifetime: 8/16 wins · hit-rate 50.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for TRAW. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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