What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for TWG?

As of 2026-09-21, TWG has a convergence score of — with conviction tier — and 0 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is TWG's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on TWG?

On the last 17 published picks featuring TWG, 11 hit the +2% intraday threshold (65% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · TWG

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-21

$TWG

Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —

Convergence Score

—

Conviction

—

Signals Firing

Track Record

11/17

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Why $TWG?

TWG -3 WATCH staples

Quantitative

Convergence score: -3 (7 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 7 convergent signals fired: fed_overlay, auto_macro_crypto_fear_greed, auto_macro_eia_petroleum, auto_macro_inflation_expectations, auto_macro_mta_ridership

Risks

Financial restatement: 1 restatement filing(s); investor confidence risk

Bear case

Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, staples-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

ONDS via comms r=+0.91 sympathetic (score 39)
SURG via comms r=+0.91 sympathetic (score 30)
KPTI via biotech r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 55)
SNDA via biotech r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 50)
DINO via energy r=-0.72 divergent (score 22)
BZ via energy r=-0.72 divergent (score 16)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-09-15	sec_clean_gappers	+3.1%	-4.2%	✓ hit
2026-09-15	sec_top_gappers	+3.1%	-4.2%	✓ hit
2026-09-15	sec_top_moat_emerging	+3.1%	-4.2%	✓ hit
2026-09-14	sec_top_gappers	+8.5%	-2.7%	✓ hit
2026-09-14	sec_top_moat_emerging	+8.5%	-2.7%	✓ hit
2026-09-11	sec_top_gappers	+4.8%	-1.6%	✓ hit
2026-09-11	sec_top_moat_emerging	+4.8%	-1.6%	✓ hit
2026-09-04	sec_top_gappers	+22.3%	+17.6%	✓ hit
2026-09-04	sec_top_moat_emerging	+22.3%	+17.6%	✓ hit
2026-08-19	sec_top_gappers	+0.5%	-7.0%	—
2026-08-19	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.5%	-7.0%	—
2026-08-18	sec_top_gappers	+5.8%	-17.3%	✓ hit

Lifetime: 11/17 wins · hit-rate 64.7% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 49.5% of the time across 329 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.8%. That is a +8.7 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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