CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05
$UCFI
staples · convergence -13 · conviction AVOID
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Why $UCFI?
Quantitative
Market cap : $287,814,752
Convergence score : -13 (5 signals firing YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 5 convergent signals fired: earnings, fed_overlay, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods, auto_macro_fx_rates
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction AVOID (-13 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Earnings binary : Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
ARIS via materials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 22)
MUR via materials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 19)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.77 sympathetic (score 1)
OPEN via real_estate r=+0.77 sympathetic (score 1)
VCTR via financials r=+0.76 sympathetic (score 19)
FCPT via financials r=+0.76 sympathetic (score 15)
Signals Firing
earnings fed_overlay auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-30 sec_top_gappers +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-10-30 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-10-29 sec_top_gappers +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-10-29 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-10-28 sec_top_gappers +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-10-28 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-10-27 sec_top_gappers +0.0% +0.0% — 2026-10-27 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% +0.0% —
Lifetime: 0/8 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket ARIS via materials · score 22 MUR via materials · score 19 AEI via real_estate · score 1 OPEN via real_estate · score 1 VCTR via financials · score 19 FCPT via financials · score 15
Earnings Catalyst No recent earnings event.
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