What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for UFG?

As of 2026-10-12, UFG has a convergence score of — with conviction tier — and 0 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is UFG's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on UFG?

On the last 8 published picks featuring UFG, 6 hit the +2% intraday threshold (75% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · UFG

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-12

$UFG

Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —

Convergence Score

—

Conviction

—

Signals Firing

Track Record

6/8

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Why $UFG?

UFG -9 WATCH consumer

Quantitative

Convergence score: -9 (6 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 6 convergent signals fired: finra_short, auto_macro_edgar_fts, auto_macro_nasa_power, auto_macro_ofac_sanctions, auto_macro_swpc_forecast

Risks

Position-sizing discipline: Conviction WATCH (-9 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

TTMI via semis r=+0.90 sympathetic (score 17)
NVDA via semis r=+0.90 sympathetic (score 16)
ATKR via tech r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 29)
IPDN via tech r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 23)
IEP via energy r=-0.81 divergent (score 11)
TSOL via energy r=-0.81 divergent (score 8)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-09-28	sec_top_gappers	+6.5%	-0.4%	✓ hit
2026-09-28	sec_top_moat_emerging	+6.5%	-0.4%	✓ hit
2026-09-09	sec_top_gappers	+0.0%	-9.4%	—
2026-09-09	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.0%	-9.4%	—
2026-09-08	sec_top_gappers	+63.5%	+25.0%	✓ hit
2026-09-08	sec_top_moat_emerging	+63.5%	+25.0%	✓ hit
2026-08-21	sec_top_gappers	+8.7%	+4.2%	✓ hit
2026-08-21	sec_top_moat_emerging	+8.7%	+4.2%	✓ hit

Lifetime: 6/8 wins · hit-rate 75.0% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for UFG. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 46.7% of the time across 445 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.0%. That is a +7.7 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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