Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · UGI
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-21

$UGI

Unclassified · convergence · conviction
Convergence Score
Conviction
Signals Firing
0
Track Record
2/4
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Why $UGI?

UGI -24 AVOID utilities

Quantitative

  • Revenue (CY2026Q1): $2.69B (+71.0% YoY)
  • Net Income (CY2026Q1): $520.0M (+8.6% YoY)
  • Net Margin (CY2026Q2): -10.0%

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 5 convergent signals fired: finra_short, fed_overlay, auto_sec_debt, auto_macro_nbp_fx, auto_macro_options_gex

Risks

  • Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30

Bear case

  • Orphan-aggregator sector lean against: Sector utilities aggregating -2 from 31 alt-data spokes

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • AEI via real_estate r=+0.83 sympathetic (score -14)
  • BEKE via real_estate r=+0.83 sympathetic (score -17)
  • KMT via industrials r=+0.76 sympathetic (score 2)
  • ACVA via industrials r=+0.76 sympathetic (score -8)
  • WEAV via tech r=+0.63 sympathetic (score 1)
  • SLE via tech r=+0.63 sympathetic (score -5)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-08-17sec_top_gappers+14.0%+9.4%✓ hit
2026-08-17sec_top_moat_emerging+14.0%+9.4%✓ hit
2026-08-06sec_top_gappers+1.3%-0.3%
2026-08-06sec_top_moat_emerging+1.3%-0.3%
Lifetime: 2/4 wins · hit-rate 50.0% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 49.5% of the time across 329 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.8%. That is a +8.7 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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