What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for UMBF?

As of 2026-11-06, UMBF has a convergence score of -14 with conviction tier AVOID and 7 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is UMBF's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

UMBF — Catalyst score -14 (AVOID) · financials

$UMBF

financials · convergence -14 · conviction AVOID

Convergence Score

-14

Conviction

AVOID

Signals Firing

Price & Live Quote

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Why $UMBF?

UMBF -14 AVOID financials

Quantitative

Convergence score: -14 (7 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 7 convergent signals fired: split, fed_overlay, sector_overlay, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods

Risks

Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-14 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, financials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

ATMU via consumer r=+1.00 sympathetic (score 12)
TILE via consumer r=+1.00 sympathetic (score 7)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.97 sympathetic (score -4)
MMI via real_estate r=+0.97 sympathetic (score -8)
SLVM via materials r=+0.92 sympathetic (score 11)
AMTX via materials r=+0.92 sympathetic (score 3)

Signals Firing

splitfed_overlaysector_overlayauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_ratesauto_macro_yield_curve

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Sympathy Basket

ATMUvia consumer · score 12
TILEvia consumer · score 7
AEIvia real_estate · score -4
MMIvia real_estate · score -8
SLVMvia materials · score 11
AMTXvia materials · score 3

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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