Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · UMC
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05

$UMC

Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —
Convergence Score
—
Conviction
—
Signals Firing
0
Track Record
2/12
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Why $UMC?

UMC -2 WATCH semis

Quantitative

  • Convergence score: -2 (5 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 5 convergent signals fired: finra_short, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods, auto_macro_fx_rates, auto_macro_treasury_fiscal

Risks

  • Financial restatement: 1 restatement filing(s); investor confidence risk

Bear case

  • Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • SHOP via tech r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 28)
  • BLZE via tech r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 27)
  • MDGL via biotech r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 29)
  • IRWD via biotech r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 26)
  • KDP via staples r=-0.80 divergent (score 37)
  • TAP via staples r=-0.80 divergent (score 23)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-11-03sec_top_gappers+1.6%-2.1%—
2026-11-03sec_top_moat_emerging+1.6%-2.1%—
2026-10-28sec_top_gappers-2.7%-4.1%—
2026-10-28sec_top_moat_emerging-2.7%-4.1%—
2026-10-23sec_top_gappers+2.4%+1.5%✓ hit
2026-10-23sec_top_moat_emerging+2.4%+1.5%✓ hit
2026-10-06sec_top_gappers+0.6%+0.5%—
2026-10-06sec_top_moat_emerging+0.6%+0.5%—
2026-10-05sec_top_gappers-1.0%-3.1%—
2026-10-05sec_top_moat_emerging-1.0%-3.1%—
2026-09-29sec_top_gappers-0.1%-0.9%—
2026-09-29sec_top_moat_emerging-0.1%-0.9%—
Lifetime: 2/12 wins · hit-rate 16.7% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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