What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for UPS?

As of 2026-09-18, UPS has a convergence score of 22 with conviction tier ELEVATED and 12 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is UPS's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on UPS?

On the last 2 published picks featuring UPS, 0 hit the +2% intraday threshold (0% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · UPS

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-18

$UPS

industrials · convergence 22 · conviction ELEVATED

Convergence Score

Conviction

ELEVATED

Signals Firing

Track Record

0/2

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Why $UPS?

UPS 22 ELEVATED industrials

Quantitative

Net Income (CY2026Q2): $604.0M (-52.9% YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 12 convergent signals fired: finra_short, macro, orphan_lean, oge_exec, auto_sec_audit

Risks

Auditor change / restatement: valuation_allowance on

Bear case

Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

MRVL via semis r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 21)
PENG via semis r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 21)
FNGR via tech r=+0.90 sympathetic (score 46)
TACT via tech r=+0.90 sympathetic (score 38)
ONDS via comms r=-0.84 divergent (score 36)
PAAI via comms r=-0.84 divergent (score 27)

Signals Firing

finra_shortmacroorphan_leanoge_execauto_sec_auditauto_sec_divestauto_setup_classifierauto_macro_13f_whalesauto_macro_eia_petroleumauto_macro_sec_proxy_fightauto_macro_term_premiumauto_macro_wiki_pageviews

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-08-12	sec_top_gappers	+1.8%	+1.6%	—
2026-08-12	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.8%	+1.6%	—

Lifetime: 0/2 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

MRVLvia semis · score 21
PENGvia semis · score 21
FNGRvia tech · score 46
TACTvia tech · score 38
ONDSvia comms · score 36
PAAIvia comms · score 27

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for UPS. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.9% of the time across 374 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.9%. That is a +8.0 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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