Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · URBN
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-08

$URBN

Unclassified · convergence — · conviction —
Convergence Score
—
Conviction
—
Signals Firing
0
Track Record
4/14
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Why $URBN?

URBN -10 AVOID consumer

Quantitative

  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $240.7M (+67.3% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Buyback authorization: Buyback authorization 2026-08-27

Risks

  • Auditor change / restatement: valuation_allowance on

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, consumer-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • FTHM via real_estate r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 18)
  • AEI via real_estate r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 6)
  • DINO via energy r=-0.94 divergent (score -4)
  • BZ via energy r=-0.94 divergent (score -13)
  • LRCX via semis r=+0.93 sympathetic (score 1)
  • VREX via semis r=+0.93 sympathetic (score 0)

Signals Firing

No active signals this cycle.
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-25sec_top_gappers+1.7%+0.1%—
2026-09-25sec_top_moat_emerging+1.7%+0.1%—
2026-09-15sec_top_gappers+3.1%+1.5%✓ hit
2026-09-15sec_top_moat_emerging+3.1%+1.5%✓ hit
2026-09-14sec_top_gappers+1.0%-1.4%—
2026-09-14sec_top_moat_emerging+1.0%-1.4%—
2026-09-11sec_top_gappers-0.6%-2.0%—
2026-09-11sec_top_moat_emerging-0.6%-2.0%—
2026-09-10sec_top_gappers+5.4%+3.9%✓ hit
2026-09-10sec_top_moat_emerging+5.4%+3.9%✓ hit
2026-09-09sec_top_gappers-1.3%-2.6%—
2026-09-09sec_top_moat_emerging-1.3%-2.6%—
Lifetime: 4/14 wins · hit-rate 28.6% on +2% intraday

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for URBN. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.0% of the time across 438 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.7%. That is a +7.3 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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