Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · USAR
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-18

$USAR

materials · convergence 36 · conviction HIGH
Convergence Score
36
Conviction
HIGH
Signals Firing
16
Track Record
15/19
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Why $USAR?

USAR 36 HIGH materials

Quantitative

  • Revenue (CY2026Q2): $5.8M (n/a YoY)
  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $-10.3M (+92.8% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Deal terms: royalty_agreement 2026-09-04
  • Deal terms: earnout 2026-09-04

Risks

  • Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30

Bear case

  • Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • OPEN via real_estate r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 24)
  • AEI via real_estate r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 23)
  • FNGR via tech r=+0.54 sympathetic (score 46)
  • TACT via tech r=+0.54 sympathetic (score 38)
  • NFE via utilities r=+0.53 sympathetic (score 61)
  • OPTT via utilities r=+0.53 sympathetic (score 36)

Signals Firing

finra_shortsc13dfinra_regshoxbrl_niftdaudit_extrasauto_edgar_fulltextauto_sec_energy_txauto_sec_geopolauto_premarket_bullauto_setup_classifierauto_macro_13f_whalesauto_macro_eia_petroleumauto_macro_sec_proxy_fightauto_macro_term_premiumauto_macro_wiki_pageviews
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Recent SEC Filings

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-01sec_top_gappers+3.7%+3.4%✓ hit
2026-09-01sec_top_moat_emerging+3.7%+3.4%✓ hit
2026-08-26sec_top_gappers+2.7%+1.7%✓ hit
2026-08-26sec_top_moat_emerging+2.7%+1.7%✓ hit
2026-08-25sec_top_gappers+5.7%-2.5%✓ hit
2026-08-25sec_top_moat_emerging+5.7%-2.5%✓ hit
2026-08-24sec_clean_gappers+6.4%+6.1%✓ hit
2026-08-24sec_top_gappers+6.4%+6.1%✓ hit
2026-08-24sec_top_moat_emerging+6.4%+6.1%✓ hit
2026-07-31sec_top_gappers+7.4%+6.1%✓ hit
2026-07-31sec_top_moat_emerging+7.4%+6.1%✓ hit
2026-07-23sec_top_gappers-0.2%-6.5%—
Lifetime: 15/19 wins · hit-rate 78.9% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for USAR. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.9% of the time across 374 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.9%. That is a +8.0 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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