CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-04
$USAR
materials · convergence 0 · conviction WATCH
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Why $USAR?
Quantitative
Revenue (CY2026Q2) : $5.8M (n/a YoY)
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $-10.3M (+92.8% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 7 convergent signals fired: earnings, finra_short, xbrl_ni, ftd, auto_macro_adp_payrolls
Risks
Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk : Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30
Bear case
Squeeze unwind : Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Earnings binary : Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
TAP via staples r=+0.94 sympathetic (score 21)
REED via staples r=+0.94 sympathetic (score 20)
ERIE via financials r=+0.79 sympathetic (score 28)
DEI via financials r=+0.79 sympathetic (score 27)
AKA via consumer r=+0.76 sympathetic (score 20)
MGM via consumer r=+0.76 sympathetic (score 20)
Signals Firing
earnings finra_short xbrl_ni ftd auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates
Sympathy Basket TAP via staples · score 21 REED via staples · score 20 ERIE via financials · score 28 DEI via financials · score 27 AKA via consumer · score 20 MGM via consumer · score 20
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