What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for USO?

As of 2026-11-05, USO has a convergence score of -9 with conviction tier WATCH and 6 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is USO's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on USO?

On the last 3 published picks featuring USO, 0 hit the +2% intraday threshold (0% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · USO

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05

$USO

energy_crude · convergence -9 · conviction WATCH

Convergence Score

-9

Conviction

WATCH

Signals Firing

Track Record

0/3

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Why $USO?

USO -9 WATCH energy_crude

Quantitative

Net Income (CY2026Q2): $-365.4M (-400.9% YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 6 convergent signals fired: reddit, finra_short, fed_overlay, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods

Risks

Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30

Bear case

Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

COP via energy_crude r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 3)
OXY via energy_crude r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 3)
PSX via energy_crude r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -2)
VLO via energy_crude r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -4)
XLE via energy_crude r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -4)
MPC via energy_crude r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -9)

Signals Firing

redditfinra_shortfed_overlayauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_rates

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-10-30	sec_clean_gappers	-5.3%	-7.1%	—
2026-10-30	sec_top_gappers	-5.3%	-7.1%	—
2026-10-30	sec_top_moat_emerging	-5.3%	-7.1%	—

Lifetime: 0/3 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

COPvia energy_crude · score 3
OXYvia energy_crude · score 3
PSXvia energy_crude · score -2
VLOvia energy_crude · score -4
XLEvia energy_crude · score -4
MPCvia energy_crude · score -9

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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