CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-09
$UTZ
staples · convergence -3 · conviction WATCH
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Why $UTZ?
Quantitative
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $-10.1M (-196.2% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 10 convergent signals fired: finra_short, m_proxy, fed_overlay, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_banrep_colombia
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction WATCH (-3 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Squeeze unwind : Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
GEVO via energy r=-0.89 divergent (score 7)
CVI via energy r=-0.89 divergent (score 4)
NRG via utilities r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 25)
VST via utilities r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 13)
CVE via materials r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 14)
EP via materials r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 13)
Signals Firing
finra_short m_proxy fed_overlay auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_banrep_colombia auto_macro_bls_employment auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates auto_macro_options_gex auto_macro_yield_curve
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-11-03 sec_top_gappers +0.2% -0.1% — 2026-11-03 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.2% -0.1% — 2026-11-02 sec_top_gappers +0.1% +0.0% — 2026-11-02 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.1% +0.0% — 2026-10-16 sec_top_gappers +0.2% +0.1% — 2026-10-16 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.2% +0.1% — 2026-10-06 sec_top_gappers +0.2% +0.1% — 2026-10-06 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.2% +0.1% — 2026-10-05 sec_top_gappers +0.0% -0.1% — 2026-10-05 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.0% -0.1% — 2026-10-02 sec_top_gappers +0.1% +0.1% — 2026-10-02 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.1% +0.1% —
Lifetime: 0/16 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket GEVO via energy · score 7 CVI via energy · score 4 NRG via utilities · score 25 VST via utilities · score 13 CVE via materials · score 14 EP via materials · score 13
Earnings Catalyst No recent earnings event.
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