What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for VALN?

As of 2026-11-09, VALN has a convergence score of -7 with conviction tier WATCH and 7 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is VALN's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on VALN?

On the last 4 published picks featuring VALN, 2 hit the +2% intraday threshold (50% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · VALN

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-09

$VALN

biotech · convergence -7 · conviction WATCH

Convergence Score

-7

Conviction

WATCH

Signals Firing

Track Record

2/4

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Why $VALN?

VALN -7 WATCH biotech

Quantitative

Convergence score: -7 (7 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 7 convergent signals fired: auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_banrep_colombia, auto_macro_bls_employment, auto_macro_durable_goods, auto_macro_fx_rates

Risks

Position-sizing discipline: Conviction WATCH (-7 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, biotech-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

QBTS via tech r=+0.98 sympathetic (score 26)
CIIT via tech r=+0.98 sympathetic (score 24)
HYSR via semis r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 13)
INDI via semis r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 13)
SKYD via comms r=+0.70 sympathetic (score 27)
SNT via comms r=+0.70 sympathetic (score 22)

Signals Firing

auto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_banrep_colombiaauto_macro_bls_employmentauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_ratesauto_macro_options_gexauto_macro_yield_curve

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Recent SEC Filings

6-K2026-11-06T10:04:45-05:00View on EDGAR →

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-10-15	sec_top_gappers	-0.7%	-5.1%	—
2026-10-15	sec_top_moat_emerging	-0.7%	-5.1%	—
2026-10-08	sec_top_gappers	+2.1%	+1.6%	✓ hit
2026-10-08	sec_top_moat_emerging	+2.1%	+1.6%	✓ hit

Lifetime: 2/4 wins · hit-rate 50.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

QBTSvia tech · score 26
CIITvia tech · score 24
HYSRvia semis · score 13
INDIvia semis · score 13
SKYDvia comms · score 27
SNTvia comms · score 22

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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