Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · VIAV
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-05

$VIAV

semis · convergence -19 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-19
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
10
Track Record
2/6
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Why $VIAV?

VIAV -19 AVOID semis

Quantitative

  • Convergence score: -19 (10 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 10 convergent signals fired: merger, alpha, finra_short, sc13d, finra_regsho

Risks

  • Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30

Bear case

  • Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
  • Deal break risk: Antitrust/regulatory review or counterparty pullout would unwind the spread

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • GME via consumer r=+0.73 sympathetic (score 4)
  • DSGR via consumer r=+0.73 sympathetic (score 3)
  • VOYG via industrials r=+0.65 sympathetic (score 17)
  • GEO via industrials r=+0.65 sympathetic (score 12)
  • DELL via tech r=+0.54 sympathetic (score 6)
  • IPDN via tech r=+0.54 sympathetic (score 5)

Signals Firing

mergeralphafinra_shortsc13dfinra_regshooge_execauto_macro_edgar_ftsauto_macro_term_premiumauto_macro_treasury_fiscalauto_macro_yield_curve
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Recent SEC Filings

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-10-02sec_top_gappers+1.2%-0.6%—
2026-10-02sec_top_moat_emerging+1.2%-0.6%—
2026-08-17sec_top_gappers-4.1%-10.6%—
2026-08-17sec_top_moat_emerging-4.1%-10.6%—
2026-08-14sec_top_gappers+7.2%+6.2%✓ hit
2026-08-14sec_top_moat_emerging+7.2%+6.2%✓ hit
Lifetime: 2/6 wins · hit-rate 33.3% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for VIAV. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.6% of the time across 403 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.6%. That is a +8.0 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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