CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05
$VRRM
industrials · convergence -16 · conviction AVOID
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Why $VRRM?
Quantitative
Revenue (CY2026Q2) : $25.8M (-22.1% YoY)
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $-48.2M (-224.9% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 6 convergent signals fired: sc13d, oge_exec, audit_extras, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction AVOID (-16 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Multiple compression : If breadth deteriorates, industrials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
DIOD via semis r=+0.72 sympathetic (score 11)
ARRY via semis r=+0.72 sympathetic (score 9)
VSEC via industrials r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 23)
GNK via industrials r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 14)
RAIL via industrials r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 7)
CDLR via industrials r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 5)
Signals Firing
sc13d oge_exec audit_extras auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-30 sec_top_gappers +2.9% -4.3% ✓ hit 2026-10-30 sec_top_moat_emerging +2.9% -4.3% ✓ hit 2026-10-07 sec_top_gappers +1.0% +0.0% — 2026-10-07 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.0% +0.0% — 2026-10-06 sec_top_gappers +5.3% +3.5% ✓ hit 2026-10-06 sec_top_moat_emerging +5.3% +3.5% ✓ hit 2026-10-05 sec_top_gappers +1.0% -1.7% — 2026-10-05 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.0% -1.7% — 2026-10-02 sec_clean_gappers +4.3% +2.1% ✓ hit 2026-10-02 sec_top_gappers +4.3% +2.1% ✓ hit 2026-10-02 sec_top_moat_emerging +4.3% +2.1% ✓ hit 2026-09-22 sec_top_gappers +0.6% -1.7% —
Lifetime: 7/13 wins · hit-rate 53.8% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket DIOD via semis · score 11 ARRY via semis · score 9 VSEC via industrials · score 23 GNK via industrials · score 14 RAIL via industrials · score 7 CDLR via industrials · score 5
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