CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05
$WH
consumer · convergence -8 · conviction WATCH
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Why $WH?
Quantitative
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $102.0M (+17.2% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 4 convergent signals fired: sc13d, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods, auto_macro_fx_rates
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction WATCH (-8 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Multiple compression : If breadth deteriorates, consumer-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
VCTR via financials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 19)
FCPT via financials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 15)
CVI via energy r=-0.89 divergent (score 12)
DK via energy r=-0.89 divergent (score 3)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 1)
OPEN via real_estate r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 1)
Signals Firing
sc13d auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-29 sec_top_gappers +1.4% -2.2% — 2026-10-29 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.4% -2.2% — 2026-10-26 sec_top_gappers +0.4% +0.1% — 2026-10-26 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.4% +0.1% — 2026-10-23 sec_top_gappers +2.7% +0.6% ✓ hit 2026-10-23 sec_top_moat_emerging +2.7% +0.6% ✓ hit 2026-10-22 sec_top_gappers +1.1% -3.5% — 2026-10-22 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.1% -3.5% — 2026-10-21 sec_top_gappers +1.9% -4.2% — 2026-10-21 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.9% -4.2% —
Lifetime: 2/10 wins · hit-rate 20.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket VCTR via financials · score 19 FCPT via financials · score 15 CVI via energy · score 12 DK via energy · score 3 AEI via real_estate · score 1 OPEN via real_estate · score 1
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