CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-13
$WULF
financials · convergence 5 · conviction WATCH
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Why $WULF?
Quantitative
Revenue (CY2026Q2) : $44.8M (-6.0% YoY)
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $-939.9M (n/a YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 9 convergent signals fired: finra_short, biotech, fed_overlay, sector_overlay, auto_macro_adp_payrolls
Risks
Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk : Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30
Bear case
Squeeze unwind : Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
AYA via materials r=+0.95 sympathetic (score 24)
RETO via materials r=+0.95 sympathetic (score 21)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.91 sympathetic (score 17)
AGNT via real_estate r=+0.91 sympathetic (score 15)
CPB via staples r=+0.90 sympathetic (score 17)
BRBR via staples r=+0.90 sympathetic (score 15)
Signals Firing
finra_short biotech fed_overlay sector_overlay auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_banrep_colombia auto_macro_bls_employment auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_wiki_pageviews
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-11-06 sec_top_gappers +11.3% +8.9% ✓ hit 2026-11-06 sec_top_moat_emerging +11.3% +8.9% ✓ hit 2026-11-04 sec_top_gappers -3.0% -13.8% — 2026-11-04 sec_top_moat_emerging -3.0% -13.8% —
Lifetime: 2/4 wins · hit-rate 50.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket AYA via materials · score 24 RETO via materials · score 21 AEI via real_estate · score 17 AGNT via real_estate · score 15 CPB via staples · score 17 BRBR via staples · score 15
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