What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for WY?

As of 2026-09-24, WY has a convergence score of 1 with conviction tier WATCH and 10 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is WY's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on WY?

On the last 5 published picks featuring WY, 2 hit the +2% intraday threshold (40% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · WY

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-24

$WY

financials · convergence 1 · conviction WATCH

Convergence Score

Conviction

WATCH

Signals Firing

Track Record

2/5

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Why $WY?

WY 1 WATCH financials

Quantitative

Revenue (CY2026Q2): $1.87B (-90.0% YoY)
Net Income (CY2026Q2): $162.0M (+86.2% YoY)
Net Margin (CY2026Q2): 8.7%

Catalysts

Unusual options activity: P/C ratio 0.60, gamma score 1 2026-09-24
Earnings sentiment: Bullish call: surprise=beat, guidance=raised

Risks

Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 1.0%, distress score 11

Bear case

Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, financials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

ONDS via comms r=-0.76 divergent (score 17)
IRDM via comms r=-0.76 divergent (score 6)
FNGR via tech r=-0.60 divergent (score 21)
ATKR via tech r=-0.60 divergent (score 15)

Finance Desk Verdict

Independent agent review — valuation, statement audit, and earnings read on the latest filing.

Valuation: undervaluedAudit: cleanDesk score: 38/100

WY files a large Reg FD investor-day deck at a 90-day price low — potential value reset catalyst for a hard-asset REIT, but exhibit content is unreadable from cache, momentum is weak (31), and the downtrend could accelerate if the presentation delivers tepid guidance.

Bull case: Investor-day often serves as a reset catalyst: management can announce an enhanced variable dividend, buyback program, or HBU (higher-and-better-use) land-sale monetization that the market hasn't priced at the 90-day low. Timberland NAV provides a hard floor; at $20.50 the stock may be below replacement cost of the land base. Any forward signal of rate relief improving housing demand would be a direct earnings tailwind for Wood Products.

Bear case: The presentation could confirm subdued near-term guidance or a dividend reset lower, validating the recent sell-off. Momentum score of 31 reflects a stock in a sustained downtrend with no news support — investor-day 'sell-the-news' dynamics are common. Lumber prices tied to housing starts that remain structurally capped by affordability constraints, and WY has limited levers to offset Wood Products weakness other than cost cuts and episodic land sales.

Signals Firing

smartxbrl_nicongressfed_overlayaudit_extrassector_overlayearnings_sentauto_sec_energy_txauto_macro_ofac_sanctionsauto_macro_options_gex

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Recent SEC Filings

8-K2026-09-24T12:38:27-04:00View on EDGAR →

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-08-27	sec_clean_gappers	+1.5%	-0.3%	—
2026-08-27	sec_top_gappers	+1.5%	-0.3%	—
2026-08-27	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.5%	-0.3%	—
2026-08-03	sec_top_gappers	+2.4%	+2.4%	✓ hit
2026-08-03	sec_top_moat_emerging	+2.4%	+2.4%	✓ hit

Lifetime: 2/5 wins · hit-rate 40.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

ONDSvia comms · score 17
IRDMvia comms · score 6
FNGRvia tech · score 21
ATKRvia tech · score 15

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.5% of the time across 355 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.2%. That is a +8.3 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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