Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · XLU
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05

$XLU

utilities · convergence -12 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-12
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
5
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Why $XLU?

XLU -12 AVOID utilities

Quantitative

  • Convergence score: -12 (5 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 5 convergent signals fired: finra_short, fed_overlay, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods, auto_macro_fx_rates

Risks

  • Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30

Bear case

  • Orphan-aggregator sector lean against: Sector utilities aggregating -2 from 31 alt-data spokes

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • ARIS via materials r=+0.66 sympathetic (score 22)
  • MUR via materials r=+0.66 sympathetic (score 19)
  • TAP via staples r=+0.65 sympathetic (score 9)
  • CHSN via staples r=+0.65 sympathetic (score 5)
  • LBTYA via comms r=-0.58 divergent (score 16)
  • CHTR via comms r=-0.58 divergent (score 7)

Signals Firing

finra_shortfed_overlayauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_rates
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for XLU. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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