What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for XOM?

As of 2026-09-18, XOM has a convergence score of 20 with conviction tier ELEVATED and 12 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is XOM's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on XOM?

On the last 5 published picks featuring XOM, 2 hit the +2% intraday threshold (40% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · XOM

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-18

$XOM

energy_crude · convergence 20 · conviction ELEVATED

Convergence Score

Conviction

ELEVATED

Signals Firing

Track Record

2/5

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Why $XOM?

XOM 20 ELEVATED energy_crude

Quantitative

Revenue (CY2026Q2): $116.02B (+42.3% YoY)
Net Income (CY2026Q2): $14.53B (+105.1% YoY)
Net Margin (CY2026Q2): 12.5%

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 12 convergent signals fired: finra_short, finra_regsho, orphan_lean, xbrl_ni, fed_overlay

Risks

Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30

Bear case

Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

VLO via energy_crude r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 39)
CVX via energy_crude r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 18)
OXY via energy_crude r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 16)
XLE via energy_crude r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 16)
COP via energy_crude r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 15)
MPC via energy_crude r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 14)

Signals Firing

finra_shortfinra_regshoorphan_leanxbrl_nifed_overlayauto_sec_energy_txauto_setup_classifierauto_macro_13f_whalesauto_macro_eia_petroleumauto_macro_sec_proxy_fightauto_macro_term_premiumauto_macro_wiki_pageviews

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-08-28	sec_top_gappers	+3.1%	+2.7%	✓ hit
2026-08-28	sec_top_moat_emerging	+3.1%	+2.7%	✓ hit
2026-07-31	sec_clean_gappers	+0.3%	-0.2%	—
2026-07-31	sec_top_gappers	+0.3%	-0.2%	—
2026-07-31	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.3%	-0.2%	—

Lifetime: 2/5 wins · hit-rate 40.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

VLOvia energy_crude · score 39
CVXvia energy_crude · score 18
OXYvia energy_crude · score 16
XLEvia energy_crude · score 16
COPvia energy_crude · score 15
MPCvia energy_crude · score 14

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for XOM. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.9% of the time across 374 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.9%. That is a +8.0 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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