What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for YMAT?

As of 2026-11-05, YMAT has a convergence score of -10 with conviction tier AVOID and 4 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is YMAT's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on YMAT?

On the last 16 published picks featuring YMAT, 12 hit the +2% intraday threshold (75% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · YMAT

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05

$YMAT

consumer · convergence -10 · conviction AVOID

Convergence Score

-10

Conviction

AVOID

Signals Firing

Track Record

12/16

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Why $YMAT?

YMAT -10 AVOID consumer

Quantitative

Convergence score: -10 (4 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 4 convergent signals fired: regsho, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods, auto_macro_fx_rates

Risks

Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30
Reg SHO threshold list: On NASDAQ threshold list (2026-11-04)

Bear case

Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, consumer-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

VCTR via financials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 19)
FCPT via financials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 15)
CVI via energy r=-0.89 divergent (score 12)
DK via energy r=-0.89 divergent (score 3)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 1)
OPEN via real_estate r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 1)

Signals Firing

regshoauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_rates

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-10-27	sec_top_gappers	+10.8%	+3.8%	✓ hit
2026-10-27	sec_top_moat_emerging	+10.8%	+3.8%	✓ hit
2026-10-12	sec_top_gappers	+14.8%	-35.7%	✓ hit
2026-10-12	sec_top_moat_emerging	+14.8%	-35.7%	✓ hit
2026-09-29	sec_top_gappers	+2.0%	-6.0%	—
2026-09-29	sec_top_moat_emerging	+2.0%	-6.0%	—
2026-09-16	sec_top_gappers	+15.6%	+5.8%	✓ hit
2026-09-16	sec_top_moat_emerging	+15.6%	+5.8%	✓ hit
2026-09-15	sec_top_gappers	+6.0%	-16.9%	✓ hit
2026-09-15	sec_top_moat_emerging	+6.0%	-16.9%	✓ hit
2026-09-14	sec_top_gappers	+0.0%	-17.8%	—
2026-09-14	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.0%	-17.8%	—

Lifetime: 12/16 wins · hit-rate 75.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

VCTRvia financials · score 19
FCPTvia financials · score 15
CVIvia energy · score 12
DKvia energy · score 3
AEIvia real_estate · score 1
OPENvia real_estate · score 1

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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