CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-12
$YTRA
industrials · convergence -21 · conviction AVOID
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Why $YTRA?
Quantitative
Convergence score : -21 (1 signals firing YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 1 convergent signals fired: tender
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction AVOID (-21 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Multiple compression : If breadth deteriorates, industrials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
THRM via consumer r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 5)
MOD via consumer r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 4)
LRHC via real_estate r=+0.84 sympathetic (score -12)
SVC via real_estate r=+0.84 sympathetic (score -12)
CTVA via materials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 14)
BKV via materials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 5)
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-02 sec_top_gappers +2.0% +1.5% ✓ hit 2026-10-02 sec_top_moat_emerging +2.0% +1.5% ✓ hit 2026-10-01 sec_top_gappers +1.5% -5.8% — 2026-10-01 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.5% -5.8% — 2026-09-30 sec_top_gappers +0.8% -0.6% — 2026-09-30 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.8% -0.6% — 2026-09-29 sec_top_gappers -0.1% -0.9% — 2026-09-29 sec_top_moat_emerging -0.1% -0.9% — 2026-09-28 sec_top_gappers +1.9% -0.6% — 2026-09-28 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.9% -0.6% — 2026-09-25 sec_top_gappers +1.0% -3.3% — 2026-09-25 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.0% -3.3% —
Lifetime: 14/34 wins · hit-rate 41.2% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket THRM via consumer · score 5 MOD via consumer · score 4 LRHC via real_estate · score -12 SVC via real_estate · score -12 CTVA via materials · score 14 BKV via materials · score 5
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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks
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