CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-06
$ZONE
materials · convergence -30 · conviction AVOID
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Why $ZONE?
Quantitative
Market cap : $30,763,538
Convergence score : -30 (8 signals firing YoY)
Catalysts
Deal terms : earnout 2026-10-14
Deal terms : earnout 2026-10-14
Risks
Auditor change / restatement : substantial_doubt on
Financial restatement : 1 restatement filing(s); investor confidence risk
Bear case
Earnings binary : Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
VST via utilities r=+0.98 sympathetic (score 10)
NRG via utilities r=+0.98 sympathetic (score -1)
TILE via consumer r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 20)
ATMU via consumer r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 15)
HUM via financials r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 24)
ACRE via financials r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 18)
Signals Firing
earnings pill auto_sec_poison_pill auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_bls_employment auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates auto_macro_yield_curve
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-30 sec_top_gappers +8.9% +8.4% ✓ hit 2026-10-30 sec_top_moat_emerging +8.9% +8.4% ✓ hit 2026-09-30 sec_top_gappers +2.3% -2.3% ✓ hit 2026-09-30 sec_top_moat_emerging +2.3% -2.3% ✓ hit 2026-09-29 sec_top_gappers +3.1% +1.6% ✓ hit 2026-09-29 sec_top_moat_emerging +3.1% +1.6% ✓ hit 2026-09-11 sec_clean_gappers +2.0% -3.4% ✓ hit 2026-09-11 sec_top_gappers +2.0% -3.4% ✓ hit 2026-09-11 sec_top_moat_emerging +2.0% -3.4% ✓ hit
Lifetime: 9/9 wins · hit-rate 100.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket VST via utilities · score 10 NRG via utilities · score -1 TILE via consumer · score 20 ATMU via consumer · score 15 HUM via financials · score 24 ACRE via financials · score 18
Earnings Catalyst No recent earnings event.
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