What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for ABEV?

As of 2026-10-05, ABEV has a convergence score of -11 with conviction tier AVOID and 9 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is ABEV's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on ABEV?

On the last 4 published picks featuring ABEV, 0 hit the +2% intraday threshold (0% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · ABEV

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-05

$ABEV

staples · convergence -11 · conviction AVOID

Convergence Score

-11

Conviction

AVOID

Signals Firing

Track Record

0/4

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Why $ABEV?

ABEV -11 AVOID staples

Quantitative

Convergence score: -11 (9 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 9 convergent signals fired: finra_short, gap, finra_regsho, ftd, fed_overlay

Risks

Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30

Bear case

Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

NTST via financials r=+0.95 sympathetic (score 14)
AMTB via financials r=+0.95 sympathetic (score 10)
BKV via materials r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 17)
CTVA via materials r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 4)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.82 sympathetic (score -8)
PDM via real_estate r=+0.82 sympathetic (score -9)

Signals Firing

finra_shortgapfinra_regshoftdfed_overlayauto_macro_edgar_ftsauto_macro_term_premiumauto_macro_treasury_fiscalauto_macro_yield_curve

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-09-10	sec_top_gappers	+0.7%	-0.7%	—
2026-09-10	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.7%	-0.7%	—
2026-08-14	sec_top_gappers	+0.4%	-0.7%	—
2026-08-14	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.4%	-0.7%	—

Lifetime: 0/4 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

NTSTvia financials · score 14
AMTBvia financials · score 10
BKVvia materials · score 17
CTVAvia materials · score 4
AEIvia real_estate · score -8
PDMvia real_estate · score -9

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for ABEV. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.6% of the time across 403 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.6%. That is a +8.0 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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