Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · AGNC
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-08

$AGNC

financials · convergence -10 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-10
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
11
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Why $AGNC?

AGNC -10 AVOID financials

Quantitative

  • Forward EPS estimate: $$0.39 (vs $$0.35 last yr YoY)
  • Market cap: $10,029,172,700
  • Convergence score: -10 (11 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 11 convergent signals fired: earnings, finra_short, stocktwits, finra_regsho, ftd

Risks

  • Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30

Bear case

  • Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
  • Earnings binary: Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • CTVA via materials r=+0.92 sympathetic (score 19)
  • NG via materials r=+0.92 sympathetic (score 13)
  • ONDS via comms r=+0.67 sympathetic (score 7)
  • IRDM via comms r=+0.67 sympathetic (score -9)
  • VOYG via industrials r=+0.62 sympathetic (score 7)
  • DE via industrials r=+0.62 sympathetic (score -1)

Signals Firing

earningsfinra_shortstocktwitsfinra_regshoftdfed_overlaysector_overlayauto_macro_crypto_fear_greedauto_macro_nbp_fxauto_macro_swpc_forecastauto_macro_yield_curve
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for AGNC. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.0% of the time across 438 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.7%. That is a +7.3 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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