Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · AIR
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-05

$AIR

industrials · convergence -22 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-22
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
8
Track Record
6/12
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Why $AIR?

AIR -22 AVOID industrials

Quantitative

  • Convergence score: -22 (8 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 8 convergent signals fired: finra_short, contract, split, auto_sec_geopol, auto_macro_edgar_fts

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-22 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • NTST via financials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 14)
  • AMTB via financials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 10)
  • FAMI via staples r=+0.79 sympathetic (score -2)
  • ABEV via staples r=+0.79 sympathetic (score -11)
  • VST via utilities r=+0.72 sympathetic (score 13)
  • EVRG via utilities r=+0.72 sympathetic (score 8)

Signals Firing

finra_shortcontractsplitauto_sec_geopolauto_macro_edgar_ftsauto_macro_term_premiumauto_macro_treasury_fiscalauto_macro_yield_curve
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-10-01sec_top_gappers+4.6%+2.6%✓ hit
2026-10-01sec_top_moat_emerging+4.6%+2.6%✓ hit
2026-09-30sec_top_gappers+2.2%-1.5%✓ hit
2026-09-30sec_top_moat_emerging+2.2%-1.5%✓ hit
2026-09-29sec_top_gappers+0.9%-4.9%—
2026-09-29sec_top_moat_emerging+0.9%-4.9%—
2026-08-12sec_top_gappers+0.9%-3.2%—
2026-08-12sec_top_moat_emerging+0.9%-3.2%—
2026-08-11sec_top_gappers+2.6%+1.9%✓ hit
2026-08-11sec_top_moat_emerging+2.6%+1.9%✓ hit
2026-08-06sec_top_gappers+1.3%-2.3%—
2026-08-06sec_top_moat_emerging+1.3%-2.3%—
Lifetime: 6/12 wins · hit-rate 50.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for AIR. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

$99 once — every ticker on this site ranked before the open.

Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.6% of the time across 403 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.6%. That is a +8.0 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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