Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · ALMU
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-01

$ALMU

semis · convergence -27 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-27
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
5
Track Record
4/8
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Why $ALMU?

ALMU -27 AVOID semis

Quantitative

  • Convergence score: -27 (5 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Corporate action: warrant_exercise 2026-09-16

Risks

  • Auditor change / restatement: restatement on

Bear case

  • Deal break risk: Antitrust/regulatory review or counterparty pullout would unwind the spread

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • GME via consumer r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 12)
  • REZI via consumer r=+0.96 sympathetic (score 12)
  • KPTI via biotech r=-0.83 divergent (score 24)
  • CHRS via biotech r=-0.83 divergent (score 22)
  • DK via energy r=-0.82 divergent (score 14)
  • IEP via energy r=-0.82 divergent (score -6)

Signals Firing

mergeraudit_extrasauto_sec_auditauto_macro_term_premiumauto_macro_yield_curve
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Recent SEC Filings

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-23sec_top_gappers+1.7%+1.4%—
2026-09-23sec_top_moat_emerging+1.7%+1.4%—
2026-09-18sec_top_gappers+8.1%+7.0%✓ hit
2026-09-18sec_top_moat_emerging+8.1%+7.0%✓ hit
2026-09-17sec_top_gappers+11.1%+10.2%✓ hit
2026-09-17sec_top_moat_emerging+11.1%+10.2%✓ hit
2026-09-16sec_top_gappers-9.2%-14.0%—
2026-09-16sec_top_moat_emerging-9.2%-14.0%—
Lifetime: 4/8 wins · hit-rate 50.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for ALMU. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.4% of the time across 364 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.7%. That is a +8.7 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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