What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for AMAT?

As of 2026-11-03, AMAT has a convergence score of -5 with conviction tier WATCH and 6 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is AMAT's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

AMAT — Catalyst score -5 (WATCH) · semis

$AMAT

semis · convergence -5 · conviction WATCH

Convergence Score

-5

Conviction

WATCH

Signals Firing

Price & Live Quote

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Why $AMAT?

AMAT -5 WATCH semis

Quantitative

Net Income (CY2026Q2): $2.54B (+42.7% YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 6 convergent signals fired: earnings, orphan_lean, congress, oge_exec, auto_macro_adp_payrolls

Risks

Position-sizing discipline: Conviction WATCH (-5 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

Earnings binary: Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

PPLI via tech r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 21)
QBTS via tech r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 10)
INO via biotech r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 18)
CRIS via biotech r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 17)
TAP via staples r=-0.80 divergent (score 6)
UTZ via staples r=-0.80 divergent (score 5)

Signals Firing

earningsorphan_leancongressoge_execauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goods

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Sympathy Basket

PPLIvia tech · score 21
QBTSvia tech · score 10
INOvia biotech · score 18
CRISvia biotech · score 17
TAPvia staples · score 6
UTZvia staples · score 5

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 44.0% of the time across 414 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 38.4%. That is a +5.6 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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