What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for ARM?

As of 2026-10-06, ARM has a convergence score of -21 with conviction tier AVOID and 6 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is ARM's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on ARM?

On the last 7 published picks featuring ARM, 7 hit the +2% intraday threshold (100% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · ARM

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-06

$ARM

semis · convergence -21 · conviction AVOID

Convergence Score

-21

Conviction

AVOID

Signals Firing

Track Record

7/7

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Why $ARM?

ARM -21 AVOID semis

Quantitative

Net Income (CY2026Q2): $270.0M (+107.7% YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 6 convergent signals fired: reddit, finra_short, arxiv, hn, xbrl_ni

Risks

Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-21 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

VOYG via industrials r=+0.81 sympathetic (score 10)
UBER via industrials r=+0.81 sympathetic (score 1)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.76 sympathetic (score -17)
PDM via real_estate r=+0.76 sympathetic (score -19)
DSGR via consumer r=+0.73 sympathetic (score -2)
GME via consumer r=+0.73 sympathetic (score -6)

Signals Firing

redditfinra_shortarxivhnxbrl_niauto_macro_yield_curve

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-09-21	sec_clean_value	+3.6%	+3.2%	✓ hit
2026-09-21	sec_clean_moat_core	+3.6%	+3.2%	✓ hit
2026-09-21	sec_top_gappers	+3.6%	+3.2%	✓ hit
2026-09-21	sec_top_moat_core	+3.6%	+3.2%	✓ hit
2026-09-14	sec_clean_value	+5.9%	+1.2%	✓ hit
2026-09-14	sec_top_gappers	+5.9%	+1.2%	✓ hit
2026-09-14	sec_top_moat_core	+5.9%	+1.2%	✓ hit

Lifetime: 7/7 wins · hit-rate 100.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

VOYGvia industrials · score 10
UBERvia industrials · score 1
AEIvia real_estate · score -17
PDMvia real_estate · score -19
DSGRvia consumer · score -2
GMEvia consumer · score -6

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.7% of the time across 405 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.8%. That is a +7.9 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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