CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05
$HON
industrials · convergence -4 · conviction WATCH
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Why $HON?
Quantitative
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $5.68B (+261.9% YoY)
Catalysts
Corporate action : spinoff 2026-10-22
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction WATCH (-4 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Squeeze unwind : Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
DIOD via semis r=+0.72 sympathetic (score 13)
NVDA via semis r=+0.72 sympathetic (score 8)
GEO via industrials r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 25)
LOAR via industrials r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 21)
MDA via industrials r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 14)
DCO via industrials r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 14)
Signals Firing
finra_short usa_spend macro orphan_lean xbrl_ni audit_extras auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-29 sec_top_gappers +0.3% -1.7% — 2026-10-29 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.3% -1.7% — 2026-10-26 sec_top_gappers +0.3% -0.2% — 2026-10-26 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.3% -0.2% — 2026-10-23 sec_top_gappers +1.2% -0.8% — 2026-10-23 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.2% -0.8% — 2026-10-22 sec_top_gappers +2.3% +1.3% ✓ hit 2026-10-22 sec_top_moat_emerging +2.3% +1.3% ✓ hit 2026-10-02 sec_top_gappers +0.5% +0.1% — 2026-10-02 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.5% +0.1% —
Lifetime: 2/10 wins · hit-rate 20.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket DIOD via semis · score 13 NVDA via semis · score 8 GEO via industrials · score 25 LOAR via industrials · score 21 MDA via industrials · score 14 DCO via industrials · score 14
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