Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · GEO
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-05

$GEO

industrials · convergence 12 · conviction WATCH
Convergence Score
12
Conviction
WATCH
Signals Firing
12
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Why $GEO?

GEO 12 WATCH industrials

Quantitative

  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $47.5M (+63.2% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Buyback authorization: Buyback authorization 2026-10-05
  • Unusual options activity: P/C ratio 0.12, gamma score 0 2026-10-05

Risks

  • Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 1.0%, distress score 12

Bear case

  • Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
  • Deal break risk: Antitrust/regulatory review or counterparty pullout would unwind the spread

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • NTST via financials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 14)
  • AMTB via financials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 10)
  • FAMI via staples r=+0.79 sympathetic (score -2)
  • ABEV via staples r=+0.79 sympathetic (score -11)
  • VST via utilities r=+0.72 sympathetic (score 13)
  • EVRG via utilities r=+0.72 sympathetic (score 8)

Signals Firing

smartmergerfinra_shortxbrl_nibuybackgammaauto_sec_divestauto_sec_geopolauto_macro_edgar_ftsauto_macro_term_premiumauto_macro_treasury_fiscalauto_macro_yield_curve
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Recent SEC Filings

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for GEO. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.6% of the time across 403 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.6%. That is a +8.0 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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