Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · RIG
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-03

$RIG

materials · convergence 15 · conviction WATCH
Convergence Score
15
Conviction
WATCH
Signals Firing
14
Track Record
8/12
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Why $RIG?

RIG 15 WATCH materials

Quantitative

  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $170.0M (+118.1% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 14 convergent signals fired: merger, finra_short, stocktwits, finra_regsho, xbrl_ni

Risks

  • Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30

Bear case

  • Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
  • Deal break risk: Antitrust/regulatory review or counterparty pullout would unwind the spread

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • LCII via consumer r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 26)
  • MOD via consumer r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 26)
  • HLNE via financials r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 30)
  • PURR via financials r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 28)
  • MPLX via energy r=-0.71 divergent (score 26)
  • IMSR via energy r=-0.71 divergent (score 7)

Signals Firing

mergerfinra_shortstocktwitsfinra_regshoxbrl_nicongresscontractm_proxyftdauto_merger_radarauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_ratesauto_macro_treasury_fiscal
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Recent SEC Filings

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-10-21sec_top_gappers+1.2%+0.7%—
2026-10-21sec_top_moat_emerging+1.2%+0.7%—
2026-10-16sec_top_gappers+6.4%+4.8%✓ hit
2026-10-16sec_top_moat_emerging+6.4%+4.8%✓ hit
2026-10-15sec_top_gappers+4.0%+2.0%✓ hit
2026-10-15sec_top_moat_emerging+4.0%+2.0%✓ hit
2026-10-09sec_top_gappers+3.4%+1.6%✓ hit
2026-10-09sec_top_moat_emerging+3.4%+1.6%✓ hit
2026-10-02sec_top_gappers+8.5%+6.6%✓ hit
2026-10-02sec_top_moat_emerging+8.5%+6.6%✓ hit
2026-10-01sec_top_gappers-0.4%-1.3%—
2026-10-01sec_top_moat_emerging-0.4%-1.3%—
Lifetime: 8/12 wins · hit-rate 66.7% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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