CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-13
$ASND
biotech · convergence -1 · conviction WATCH
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Why $ASND?
Quantitative
Forward EPS estimate : $$1.13 (vs $($1.17) last yr YoY)
Market cap : $17,082,428,400
Convergence score : -1 (5 signals firing YoY)
Catalysts
Dark pool activity : Volume 1.8x 30-day average; price chg +3.0%
Risks
Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk : Borrow rate 1.0%, distress score 9
Bear case
Multiple compression : If breadth deteriorates, biotech-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
NVDA via semis r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 46)
DIOD via semis r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 31)
SKYD via comms r=+0.83 sympathetic (score 22)
LBTYA via comms r=+0.83 sympathetic (score 14)
BOXL via tech r=+0.77 sympathetic (score 31)
CSCO via tech r=+0.77 sympathetic (score 25)
Signals Firing
auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_banrep_colombia auto_macro_bls_employment auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_wiki_pageviews
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-11-09 sec_clean_value +0.0% -1.3% — 2026-11-09 sec_clean_moat_core +0.0% -1.3% — 2026-11-09 sec_top_gappers +0.0% -1.3% — 2026-11-09 sec_top_moat_core +0.0% -1.3% — 2026-10-16 sec_clean_value +3.5% +2.1% ✓ hit 2026-10-16 sec_clean_moat_core +3.5% +2.1% ✓ hit 2026-10-16 sec_top_gappers +3.5% +2.1% ✓ hit 2026-10-16 sec_top_moat_core +3.5% +2.1% ✓ hit 2026-09-29 sec_clean_value +1.3% -0.1% — 2026-09-29 sec_clean_moat_core +1.3% -0.1% — 2026-09-29 sec_top_gappers +1.3% -0.1% — 2026-09-29 sec_top_moat_core +1.3% -0.1% —
Lifetime: 8/16 wins · hit-rate 50.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket NVDA via semis · score 46 DIOD via semis · score 31 SKYD via comms · score 22 LBTYA via comms · score 14 BOXL via tech · score 31 CSCO via tech · score 25
Earnings Catalyst No recent earnings event.
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