What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for BAK?

As of 2026-11-09, BAK has a convergence score of 7 with conviction tier WATCH and 11 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is BAK's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on BAK?

On the last 18 published picks featuring BAK, 8 hit the +2% intraday threshold (44% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · BAK

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-09

$BAK

materials · convergence 7 · conviction WATCH

Convergence Score

Conviction

WATCH

Signals Firing

Track Record

8/18

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Why $BAK?

BAK 7 WATCH materials

Quantitative

Forward EPS estimate: $$0.31 (vs $($0.02) last yr YoY)
Market cap: $422,520,160
Convergence score: 7 (11 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 11 convergent signals fired: earnings, finra_short, sc13d, finra_regsho, auto_macro_adp_payrolls

Risks

Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30
Financial restatement: 1 restatement filing(s); investor confidence risk

Bear case

Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Earnings binary: Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

VST via utilities r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 22)
NRG via utilities r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 17)
ACRE via financials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 27)
NTST via financials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 25)
MOD via consumer r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 23)
VSA via consumer r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 19)

Signals Firing

earningsfinra_shortsc13dfinra_regshoauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_banrep_colombiaauto_macro_bls_employmentauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_ratesauto_macro_options_gexauto_macro_yield_curve

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-11-04	sec_top_gappers	+2.7%	-5.4%	✓ hit
2026-11-04	sec_top_moat_emerging	+2.7%	-5.4%	✓ hit
2026-10-30	sec_top_gappers	+1.7%	+0.9%	—
2026-10-30	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.7%	+0.9%	—
2026-10-26	sec_top_gappers	+30.0%	+22.7%	✓ hit
2026-10-26	sec_top_moat_emerging	+30.0%	+22.7%	✓ hit
2026-10-22	sec_top_gappers	+7.5%	+6.2%	✓ hit
2026-10-22	sec_top_moat_emerging	+7.5%	+6.2%	✓ hit
2026-09-28	sec_top_gappers	+1.3%	-4.7%	—
2026-09-28	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.3%	-4.7%	—
2026-09-25	sec_top_gappers	+1.0%	-3.2%	—
2026-09-25	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.0%	-3.2%	—

Lifetime: 8/18 wins · hit-rate 44.4% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

VSTvia utilities · score 22
NRGvia utilities · score 17
ACREvia financials · score 27
NTSTvia financials · score 25
MODvia consumer · score 23
VSAvia consumer · score 19

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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