CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-12
$BETR
financials · convergence -13 · conviction AVOID
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Why $BETR?
Quantitative
Convergence score : -13 (6 signals firing YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 6 convergent signals fired: fed_overlay, sector_overlay, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_banrep_colombia, auto_macro_bls_employment
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction AVOID (-13 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Multiple compression : If breadth deteriorates, financials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
RETO via materials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 6)
EPC via materials r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 3)
BR via industrials r=+0.95 sympathetic (score 7)
HON via industrials r=+0.95 sympathetic (score 6)
YETI via consumer r=+0.94 sympathetic (score 20)
NXXT via consumer r=+0.94 sympathetic (score 16)
Signals Firing
fed_overlay sector_overlay auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_banrep_colombia auto_macro_bls_employment auto_macro_durable_goods
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-16 sec_top_gappers +9.1% +5.8% ✓ hit 2026-10-16 sec_top_moat_emerging +9.1% +5.8% ✓ hit 2026-10-15 sec_top_gappers -0.0% -7.5% — 2026-10-15 sec_top_moat_emerging -0.0% -7.5% — 2026-10-14 sec_clean_gappers +40.0% +32.5% ✓ hit 2026-10-14 sec_top_gappers +40.0% +32.5% ✓ hit 2026-10-14 sec_top_moat_emerging +40.0% +32.5% ✓ hit 2026-10-13 sec_top_gappers -1.9% -9.5% — 2026-10-13 sec_top_moat_emerging -1.9% -9.5% — 2026-10-12 sec_top_gappers +0.3% -2.5% — 2026-10-12 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.3% -2.5% — 2026-10-08 sec_clean_gappers +3.3% -2.9% ✓ hit
Lifetime: 30/55 wins · hit-rate 54.5% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket RETO via materials · score 6 EPC via materials · score 3 BR via industrials · score 7 HON via industrials · score 6 YETI via consumer · score 20 NXXT via consumer · score 16
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