CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-12
$BHLL
materials · convergence -28 · conviction AVOID
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Why $BHLL?
Quantitative
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $18.2M (-11.1% YoY)
Catalysts
Deal terms : royalty_agreement 2026-09-30
Risks
Auditor change / restatement : going_concern on
Bear case
Deal break risk : Antitrust/regulatory review or counterparty pullout would unwind the spread
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
BR via industrials r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 7)
HON via industrials r=+0.99 sympathetic (score 6)
OPEN via real_estate r=+0.99 sympathetic (score -3)
AEI via real_estate r=+0.99 sympathetic (score -5)
YETI via consumer r=+0.98 sympathetic (score 20)
NXXT via consumer r=+0.98 sympathetic (score 16)
Signals Firing
merger auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_banrep_colombia auto_macro_bls_employment auto_macro_durable_goods
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-02 sec_top_gappers +1.6% +0.8% — 2026-10-02 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.6% +0.8% — 2026-10-01 sec_top_gappers +0.8% -2.0% — 2026-10-01 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.8% -2.0% — 2026-09-30 sec_top_gappers -0.3% -1.9% — 2026-09-30 sec_top_moat_emerging -0.3% -1.9% — 2026-09-29 sec_clean_gappers +6.4% -8.5% ✓ hit 2026-09-29 sec_top_gappers +6.4% -8.5% ✓ hit 2026-09-29 sec_top_moat_emerging +6.4% -8.5% ✓ hit 2026-09-21 sec_top_gappers +1.7% +0.5% — 2026-09-21 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.7% +0.5% —
Lifetime: 3/11 wins · hit-rate 27.3% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket BR via industrials · score 7 HON via industrials · score 6 OPEN via real_estate · score -3 AEI via real_estate · score -5 YETI via consumer · score 20 NXXT via consumer · score 16
Earnings Catalyst No recent earnings event.
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