Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · BULL
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-05

$BULL

financials · convergence -18 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-18
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
8
Track Record
8/12
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Why $BULL?

BULL -18 AVOID financials

Quantitative

  • Convergence score: -18 (8 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 8 convergent signals fired: finra_short, sc13d, fed_overlay, sector_overlay, auto_macro_edgar_fts

Risks

  • Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30

Bear case

  • Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • FAMI via staples r=+0.95 sympathetic (score -2)
  • ABEV via staples r=+0.95 sympathetic (score -11)
  • VOYG via industrials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 17)
  • GEO via industrials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 12)
  • BKV via materials r=+0.79 sympathetic (score 17)
  • CTVA via materials r=+0.79 sympathetic (score 4)

Signals Firing

finra_shortsc13dfed_overlaysector_overlayauto_macro_edgar_ftsauto_macro_term_premiumauto_macro_treasury_fiscalauto_macro_yield_curve
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-10-01sec_top_gappers+8.2%+4.4%✓ hit
2026-10-01sec_top_moat_emerging+8.2%+4.4%✓ hit
2026-09-11sec_top_gappers+1.5%-2.0%—
2026-09-11sec_top_moat_emerging+1.5%-2.0%—
2026-09-02sec_top_gappers+13.2%+11.1%✓ hit
2026-09-02sec_top_moat_emerging+13.2%+11.1%✓ hit
2026-09-01sec_top_gappers-0.3%-1.4%—
2026-09-01sec_top_moat_emerging-0.3%-1.4%—
2026-08-20sec_top_gappers+7.9%-0.8%✓ hit
2026-08-20sec_top_moat_emerging+7.9%-0.8%✓ hit
2026-08-19sec_top_gappers+15.2%+2.4%✓ hit
2026-08-19sec_top_moat_emerging+15.2%+2.4%✓ hit
Lifetime: 8/12 wins · hit-rate 66.7% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for BULL. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.6% of the time across 403 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.6%. That is a +8.0 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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