What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for CMT?

As of 2026-10-08, CMT has a convergence score of -38 with conviction tier AVOID and 5 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is CMT's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on CMT?

On the last 6 published picks featuring CMT, 6 hit the +2% intraday threshold (100% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · CMT

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-08

$CMT

materials · convergence -38 · conviction AVOID

Convergence Score

-38

Conviction

AVOID

Signals Firing

Track Record

6/6

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Why $CMT?

CMT -38 AVOID materials

Quantitative

Net Income (CY2026Q2): $1.8M (-56.0% YoY)

Catalysts

Buyback authorization: Buyback authorization 2026-09-28

Risks

Financial restatement: 1 restatement filing(s); investor confidence risk

Bear case

Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, materials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

ARI via financials r=+0.92 sympathetic (score 10)
AXP via financials r=+0.92 sympathetic (score 6)
ONDS via comms r=+0.76 sympathetic (score 7)
IRDM via comms r=+0.76 sympathetic (score -9)
VOYG via industrials r=+0.69 sympathetic (score 7)
DE via industrials r=+0.69 sympathetic (score -1)

Signals Firing

buybackauto_macro_crypto_fear_greedauto_macro_nbp_fxauto_macro_swpc_forecastauto_macro_yield_curve

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-09-30	sec_top_gappers	+2.6%	+0.9%	✓ hit
2026-09-30	sec_top_moat_emerging	+2.6%	+0.9%	✓ hit
2026-09-29	sec_top_gappers	+3.6%	+1.1%	✓ hit
2026-09-29	sec_top_moat_emerging	+3.6%	+1.1%	✓ hit
2026-09-28	sec_top_gappers	+2.7%	+0.0%	✓ hit
2026-09-28	sec_top_moat_emerging	+2.7%	+0.0%	✓ hit

Lifetime: 6/6 wins · hit-rate 100.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

ARIvia financials · score 10
AXPvia financials · score 6
ONDSvia comms · score 7
IRDMvia comms · score -9
VOYGvia industrials · score 7
DEvia industrials · score -1

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for CMT. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.0% of the time across 438 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.7%. That is a +7.3 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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