CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-06
$DAL
industrials · convergence -14 · conviction AVOID
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Why $DAL?
Quantitative
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $1.60B (-24.7% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 6 convergent signals fired: finra_short, oge_exec, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods, auto_macro_fx_rates
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction AVOID (-14 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Squeeze unwind : Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
DIOD via semis r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 24)
NVDA via semis r=+0.89 sympathetic (score 9)
QBTS via tech r=+0.76 sympathetic (score 10)
NET via tech r=+0.76 sympathetic (score 9)
ZVIA via biotech r=+0.61 sympathetic (score 11)
CON via biotech r=+0.61 sympathetic (score 7)
Signals Firing
finra_short oge_exec auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates auto_macro_yield_curve
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-14 sec_top_gappers +1.9% +1.9% — 2026-10-14 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.9% +1.9% — 2026-10-13 sec_top_gappers -1.2% -3.7% — 2026-10-13 sec_top_moat_emerging -1.2% -3.7% — 2026-10-12 sec_top_gappers +0.7% -0.7% — 2026-10-12 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.7% -0.7% — 2026-10-09 sec_top_gappers -0.5% -2.5% — 2026-10-09 sec_top_moat_emerging -0.5% -2.5% —
Lifetime: 0/8 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket DIOD via semis · score 24 NVDA via semis · score 9 QBTS via tech · score 10 NET via tech · score 9 ZVIA via biotech · score 11 CON via biotech · score 7
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