Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · DUOL
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-08

$DUOL

tech · convergence -31 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-31
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
4
Track Record
2/6
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Why $DUOL?

DUOL -31 AVOID tech

Quantitative

  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $33.2M (-26.0% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 4 convergent signals fired: auto_macro_crypto_fear_greed, auto_macro_nbp_fx, auto_macro_swpc_forecast, auto_macro_yield_curve

Risks

  • Insider planned sale (Form 144): <b>Filed:</b> 2026-10-07 <b>AccNo:</b> 0001950047-26-010101 <b>Size:</b> 9 KB 2026-10-07

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, tech-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • DIOD via semis r=+0.94 sympathetic (score -2)
  • MRVL via semis r=+0.94 sympathetic (score -5)
  • VOYG via industrials r=+0.93 sympathetic (score 7)
  • DE via industrials r=+0.93 sympathetic (score -1)
  • DK via energy r=+0.74 sympathetic (score 8)
  • PBF via energy r=+0.74 sympathetic (score 2)

Signals Firing

auto_macro_crypto_fear_greedauto_macro_nbp_fxauto_macro_swpc_forecastauto_macro_yield_curve
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-23sec_top_gappers+4.8%+1.2%✓ hit
2026-09-23sec_top_moat_emerging+4.8%+1.2%✓ hit
2026-08-19sec_top_gappers+2.0%+0.7%—
2026-08-19sec_top_moat_emerging+2.0%+0.7%—
2026-08-10sec_top_gappers+0.9%-1.3%—
2026-08-10sec_top_moat_emerging+0.9%-1.3%—
Lifetime: 2/6 wins · hit-rate 33.3% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for DUOL. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

$99 once — every ticker on this site ranked before the open.

Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.0% of the time across 438 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.7%. That is a +7.3 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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