Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · GPI
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-03

$GPI

consumer · convergence -18 · conviction AVOID
Convergence Score
-18
Conviction
AVOID
Signals Firing
4
Track Record
2/7
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Why $GPI?

GPI -18 AVOID consumer

Quantitative

  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $103.3M (-26.5% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 4 convergent signals fired: sc13d, audit_extras, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_durable_goods

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-18 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, consumer-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • DK via energy r=-0.95 divergent (score 4)
  • IMSR via energy r=-0.95 divergent (score 1)
  • BORR via materials r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 20)
  • KOS via materials r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 16)
  • RGR via industrials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 26)
  • III via industrials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 19)

Signals Firing

sc13daudit_extrasauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goods
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-24sec_top_gappers+2.5%+1.8%✓ hit
2026-09-24sec_top_moat_emerging+2.5%+1.8%✓ hit
2026-09-22sec_clean_gappers+1.1%-2.5%—
2026-09-22sec_top_gappers+1.1%-2.5%—
2026-09-22sec_top_moat_emerging+1.1%-2.5%—
2026-09-10sec_top_gappers+1.6%-1.3%—
2026-09-10sec_top_moat_emerging+1.6%-1.3%—
Lifetime: 2/7 wins · hit-rate 28.6% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for GPI. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 44.0% of the time across 414 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 38.4%. That is a +5.6 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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