Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · RGR
CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-18

$RGR

industrials · convergence 45 · conviction HIGH
Convergence Score
45
Conviction
HIGH
Signals Firing
15
Track Record
3/7
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Why $RGR?

RGR 45 HIGH industrials

Quantitative

  • Revenue (CY2026Q2): $158.1M (+19.3% YoY)
  • Net Income (CY2026Q2): $7.0M (+140.5% YoY)

Catalysts

  • Multi-spoke convergence: 15 convergent signals fired: merger, alpha, sc13d, xbrl_ni, tender

Risks

  • Position-sizing discipline: Conviction HIGH (45 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

  • Deal break risk: Antitrust/regulatory review or counterparty pullout would unwind the spread

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

  • MRVL via semis r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 21)
  • PENG via semis r=+0.97 sympathetic (score 21)
  • FNGR via tech r=+0.90 sympathetic (score 46)
  • TACT via tech r=+0.90 sympathetic (score 38)
  • ONDS via comms r=-0.84 divergent (score 36)
  • PAAI via comms r=-0.84 divergent (score 27)

Signals Firing

mergeralphasc13dxbrl_nitenderuplistpillgammaauto_sec_poison_pillauto_setup_classifierauto_macro_13f_whalesauto_macro_eia_petroleumauto_macro_sec_proxy_fightauto_macro_term_premiumauto_macro_wiki_pageviews
Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Recent SEC Filings

Pick Track Record

DateListNext-day max runNext-day closeHit +2%?
2026-09-17sec_top_gappers+0.8%+0.4%
2026-09-17sec_top_moat_emerging+0.8%+0.4%
2026-09-16sec_clean_gappers+9.8%+8.3%✓ hit
2026-09-16sec_top_gappers+9.8%+8.3%✓ hit
2026-09-16sec_top_moat_emerging+9.8%+8.3%✓ hit
2026-07-30sec_top_gappers+0.2%-4.8%
2026-07-30sec_top_moat_emerging+0.2%-4.8%
Lifetime: 3/7 wins · hit-rate 42.9% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for RGR. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 48.9% of the time across 374 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.9%. That is a +8.0 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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