CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-03
$RGR
industrials · convergence 27 · conviction ELEVATED
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Why $RGR?
Quantitative
Revenue (CY2026Q2) : $158.1M (+19.3% YoY)
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $7.0M (+140.5% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 10 convergent signals fired: earnings, xbrl_ni, tender, pill, gamma
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction ELEVATED (27 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Earnings binary : Print-day moves can swing ±15% — gap risk both directions
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
LCII via consumer r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 26)
MOD via consumer r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 26)
HLNE via financials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 30)
PURR via financials r=+0.84 sympathetic (score 28)
MPLX via energy r=-0.75 divergent (score 26)
IMSR via energy r=-0.75 divergent (score 7)
Signals Firing
earnings xbrl_ni tender pill gamma auto_sec_poison_pill auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates auto_macro_treasury_fiscal
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-22 sec_top_gappers +1.8% -4.4% — 2026-10-22 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.8% -4.4% — 2026-10-20 sec_top_gappers +4.3% +2.8% ✓ hit 2026-10-20 sec_top_moat_emerging +4.3% +2.8% ✓ hit 2026-10-19 sec_top_gappers +10.2% +6.2% ✓ hit 2026-10-19 sec_top_moat_emerging +10.2% +6.2% ✓ hit 2026-10-16 sec_top_gappers +8.0% +5.8% ✓ hit 2026-10-16 sec_top_moat_emerging +8.0% +5.8% ✓ hit 2026-09-30 sec_top_gappers +3.0% +2.9% ✓ hit 2026-09-30 sec_top_moat_emerging +3.0% +2.9% ✓ hit 2026-09-29 sec_top_gappers +1.4% +0.7% — 2026-09-29 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.4% +0.7% —
Lifetime: 13/25 wins · hit-rate 52.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket LCII via consumer · score 26 MOD via consumer · score 26 HLNE via financials · score 30 PURR via financials · score 28 MPLX via energy · score 26 IMSR via energy · score 7
Earnings Catalyst No recent earnings event.
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