CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-03
$GRDX
biotech · convergence 10 · conviction WATCH
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Why $GRDX?
Quantitative
Convergence score : 10 (9 signals firing YoY)
Catalysts
Corporate action : warrant_exercise 2026-10-28
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction WATCH (10 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Multiple compression : If breadth deteriorates, biotech-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
KDP via staples r=-0.90 divergent (score 37)
TAP via staples r=-0.90 divergent (score 23)
SHOP via tech r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 28)
BLZE via tech r=+0.88 sympathetic (score 27)
DIOD via semis r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 26)
NVDA via semis r=+0.80 sympathetic (score 23)
Signals Firing
sec_fda pill audit_extras auto_lockup_calendar auto_sec_poison_pill auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates auto_macro_treasury_fiscal
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-12 sec_top_gappers +0.4% -2.4% — 2026-10-12 sec_top_moat_emerging +0.4% -2.4% — 2026-09-22 sec_top_gappers +5.9% -0.8% ✓ hit 2026-09-22 sec_top_moat_emerging +5.9% -0.8% ✓ hit 2026-09-21 sec_top_gappers +14.7% +14.4% ✓ hit 2026-09-21 sec_top_moat_emerging +14.7% +14.4% ✓ hit 2026-09-18 sec_top_gappers +10.6% +9.3% ✓ hit 2026-09-18 sec_top_moat_emerging +10.6% +9.3% ✓ hit 2026-09-11 sec_clean_gappers +6.3% +3.8% ✓ hit 2026-09-11 sec_top_gappers +6.3% +3.8% ✓ hit 2026-09-11 sec_top_moat_emerging +6.3% +3.8% ✓ hit
Lifetime: 9/11 wins · hit-rate 81.8% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket KDP via staples · score 37 TAP via staples · score 23 SHOP via tech · score 28 BLZE via tech · score 27 DIOD via semis · score 26 NVDA via semis · score 23
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Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks
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