CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-09
$HAYW
industrials · convergence -5 · conviction WATCH
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Why $HAYW?
Quantitative
Net Income (CY2026Q2) : $45.6M (+183.0% YoY)
Catalysts
Multi-spoke convergence : 9 convergent signals fired: finra_short, sc13d, auto_macro_adp_payrolls, auto_macro_banrep_colombia, auto_macro_bls_employment
Risks
Position-sizing discipline : Conviction WATCH (-5 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged
Bear case
Squeeze unwind : Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical
Sympathy basket (cerebro)
HYSR via semis r=+0.83 sympathetic (score 13)
INDI via semis r=+0.83 sympathetic (score 13)
QBTS via tech r=+0.75 sympathetic (score 26)
CIIT via tech r=+0.75 sympathetic (score 24)
AORT via biotech r=+0.63 sympathetic (score 24)
ONCO via biotech r=+0.63 sympathetic (score 20)
Signals Firing
finra_short sc13d auto_macro_adp_payrolls auto_macro_banrep_colombia auto_macro_bls_employment auto_macro_durable_goods auto_macro_fx_rates auto_macro_options_gex auto_macro_yield_curve
Pick Track Record Date List Next-day max run Next-day close Hit +2%? 2026-10-28 sec_top_gappers +5.6% +5.3% ✓ hit 2026-10-28 sec_top_moat_emerging +5.6% +5.3% ✓ hit 2026-10-02 sec_top_gappers +1.2% +0.2% — 2026-10-02 sec_top_moat_emerging +1.2% +0.2% —
Lifetime: 2/4 wins · hit-rate 50.0% on +2% intraday
Sympathy Basket HYSR via semis · score 13 INDI via semis · score 13 QBTS via tech · score 26 CIIT via tech · score 24 AORT via biotech · score 24 ONCO via biotech · score 20
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