What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for IDT?

As of 2026-10-15, IDT has a convergence score of -31 with conviction tier AVOID and 2 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is IDT's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on IDT?

On the last 11 published picks featuring IDT, 7 hit the +2% intraday threshold (64% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · IDT

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-15

$IDT

comms · convergence -31 · conviction AVOID

Convergence Score

-31

Conviction

AVOID

Signals Firing

Track Record

7/11

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Why $IDT?

IDT -31 AVOID comms

Quantitative

Convergence score: -31 (2 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 2 convergent signals fired: sec_crypto, auto_macro_credit_spreads

Risks

Insider planned sale (Form 144): Filed: 2026-10-14 AccNo: 0001950047-26-010223 Size: 7 KB 2026-10-14

Bear case

Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, comms-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

DK via energy r=+0.83 sympathetic (score 6)
GWLL via energy r=+0.83 sympathetic (score -19)
KPTI via biotech r=-0.81 divergent (score 12)
CHRS via biotech r=-0.81 divergent (score -4)

Signals Firing

sec_cryptoauto_macro_credit_spreads

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-10-01	sec_top_gappers	+0.8%	-1.3%	—
2026-10-01	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.8%	-1.3%	—
2026-09-30	sec_top_gappers	+2.3%	+0.0%	✓ hit
2026-09-30	sec_top_moat_emerging	+2.3%	+0.0%	✓ hit
2026-09-29	sec_top_gappers	+6.7%	+5.8%	✓ hit
2026-09-29	sec_top_moat_emerging	+6.7%	+5.8%	✓ hit
2026-09-28	sec_clean_gappers	+11.1%	+8.6%	✓ hit
2026-09-28	sec_top_gappers	+11.1%	+8.6%	✓ hit
2026-09-28	sec_top_moat_emerging	+11.1%	+8.6%	✓ hit
2026-09-24	sec_top_gappers	+1.2%	-0.4%	—
2026-09-24	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.2%	-0.4%	—

Lifetime: 7/11 wins · hit-rate 63.6% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

DKvia energy · score 6
GWLLvia energy · score -19
KPTIvia biotech · score 12
CHRSvia biotech · score -4

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for IDT. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 46.8% of the time across 457 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 38.7%. That is a +8.1 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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