What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for JVA?

As of 2026-09-14, JVA has a convergence score of 5 with conviction tier WATCH and 9 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is JVA's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on JVA?

On the last 2 published picks featuring JVA, 0 hit the +2% intraday threshold (0% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · JVA

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-14

$JVA

staples · convergence 5 · conviction WATCH

Convergence Score

Conviction

WATCH

Signals Firing

Track Record

0/2

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Why $JVA?

JVA 5 WATCH staples

Quantitative

Net Income (CY2026Q2): $2.0M (+265.4% YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 9 convergent signals fired: alpha, gap, xbrl_ni, fed_overlay, auto_macro_credit_spreads

Risks

Financial restatement: 1 restatement filing(s); investor confidence risk

Bear case

Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, staples-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

KR via consumer r=+0.91 sympathetic (score 13)
MTN via consumer r=+0.91 sympathetic (score 13)
SURG via comms r=+0.91 sympathetic (score 8)
AEHL via comms r=+0.91 sympathetic (score 7)
AGNT via real_estate r=+0.68 sympathetic (score 14)
CSUI via real_estate r=+0.68 sympathetic (score 3)

Finance Desk Verdict

Independent agent review — valuation, statement audit, and earnings read on the latest filing.

Valuation: unclearAudit: cautionDesk score: 22/100

Micro-cap coffee distributor with a fresh 8-K (filing text unavailable), persistent 90-day downtrend, zero signal convergence, and no moat — desk cannot size a position without reading the filing; WATCH only.

Bull case: If Q3 FY2026 shows even modest margin recovery vs the June earnings blowup, the stock could stage a relief rally from a heavily compressed base ($3.23 52-week low). At sub-$20M market cap, any positive free-cash-flow quarter makes the stock look extremely cheap on an EV/FCF basis. A declining arabica futures curve since mid-2026 could read through to better Q4 margins.

Bear case: JVA is in a confirmed downtrend (-26% in 90 days, -22% in 180 days) with no news coverage (news_hits: 0), no moat (moat_score: 0), and zero signal convergence. The June earnings gap-down has not been recovered in three months. Thin float means any institutional exit continues to pressure the stock. If Q3 results disappoint again, next technical support is the $3.23 YTD low with no visible floor beneath it.

Signals Firing

alphagapxbrl_nifed_overlayauto_macro_credit_spreadsauto_macro_edgar_ftsauto_macro_eia_petroleumauto_macro_inflation_expectationsauto_macro_move_index

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Recent SEC Filings

10-Q2026-09-11T09:10:36-04:00View on EDGAR →
102026-09-11T09:10:36-04:00View on EDGAR →

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-08-31	sec_top_gappers	+0.9%	+0.3%	—
2026-08-31	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.9%	+0.3%	—

Lifetime: 0/2 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

KRvia consumer · score 13
MTNvia consumer · score 13
SURGvia comms · score 8
AEHLvia comms · score 7
AGNTvia real_estate · score 14
CSUIvia real_estate · score 3

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for JVA. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 50.3% of the time across 334 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 41.0%. That is a +9.3 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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