What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for MATW?

As of 2026-10-05, MATW has a convergence score of -14 with conviction tier AVOID and 7 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is MATW's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on MATW?

On the last 4 published picks featuring MATW, 2 hit the +2% intraday threshold (50% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · MATW

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-10-05

$MATW

materials · convergence -14 · conviction AVOID

Convergence Score

-14

Conviction

AVOID

Signals Firing

Track Record

2/4

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Why $MATW?

MATW -14 AVOID materials

Quantitative

Net Income (CY2026Q2): $-23.7M (-253.9% YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 7 convergent signals fired: sc13d, auto_sec_divest, auto_sec_geopol, auto_macro_edgar_fts, auto_macro_term_premium

Risks

Position-sizing discipline: Conviction AVOID (-14 score) — size accordingly; no specific catalyst-fade risk flagged

Bear case

Multiple compression: If breadth deteriorates, materials-wide multiples re-rate lower regardless of pick-specific thesis

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

FAMI via staples r=+0.88 sympathetic (score -2)
ABEV via staples r=+0.88 sympathetic (score -11)
NTST via financials r=+0.79 sympathetic (score 14)
AMTB via financials r=+0.79 sympathetic (score 10)
ONDS via comms r=+0.66 sympathetic (score 18)
IRDM via comms r=+0.66 sympathetic (score 8)

Signals Firing

sc13dauto_sec_divestauto_sec_geopolauto_macro_edgar_ftsauto_macro_term_premiumauto_macro_treasury_fiscalauto_macro_yield_curve

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-10-01	sec_top_gappers	+4.8%	+3.8%	✓ hit
2026-10-01	sec_top_moat_emerging	+4.8%	+3.8%	✓ hit
2026-08-07	sec_top_gappers	+0.8%	-3.0%	—
2026-08-07	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.8%	-3.0%	—

Lifetime: 2/4 wins · hit-rate 50.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

FAMIvia staples · score -2
ABEVvia staples · score -11
NTSTvia financials · score 14
AMTBvia financials · score 10
ONDSvia comms · score 18
IRDMvia comms · score 8

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for MATW. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 47.6% of the time across 403 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 39.6%. That is a +8.0 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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