What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for MSFT?

As of 2026-09-21, MSFT has a convergence score of 4 with conviction tier WATCH and 13 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is MSFT's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on MSFT?

On the last 4 published picks featuring MSFT, 4 hit the +2% intraday threshold (100% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · MSFT

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-09-21

$MSFT

tech_mega · convergence 4 · conviction WATCH

Convergence Score

Conviction

WATCH

Signals Firing

Track Record

4/4

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Why $MSFT?

MSFT 4 WATCH tech_mega

Quantitative

Convergence score: 4 (13 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 13 convergent signals fired: alpha, finra_short, github, hn, macro

Risks

Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30

Bear case

Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

CRM via tech_mega r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 20)
QQQ via tech_mega r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 17)
META via tech_mega r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 15)
NFLX via tech_mega r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 15)
XLK via tech_mega r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 14)
TSLA via tech_mega r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 7)

Signals Firing

alphafinra_shortgithubhnmacroorphan_leanoge_execauto_setup_classifierauto_macro_edgar_ftsauto_macro_eia_petroleumauto_macro_nasa_powerauto_macro_ofac_sanctionsauto_macro_term_premium

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-09-02	sec_top_gappers	+3.8%	+2.7%	✓ hit
2026-09-02	sec_top_moat_emerging	+3.8%	+2.7%	✓ hit
2026-07-31	sec_top_gappers	+5.8%	+4.9%	✓ hit
2026-07-31	sec_top_moat_emerging	+5.8%	+4.9%	✓ hit

Lifetime: 4/4 wins · hit-rate 100.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

CRMvia tech_mega · score 20
QQQvia tech_mega · score 17
METAvia tech_mega · score 15
NFLXvia tech_mega · score 15
XLKvia tech_mega · score 14
TSLAvia tech_mega · score 7

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

You came here for MSFT. You found it after it moved, the same way everyone else did.

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Tier 1 setups touched +2% intraday 49.5% of the time across 329 tracked calls. Baseline for everything else: 40.8%. That is a +8.7 point edge, measured from the NEXT OPEN — the first price you could actually pay, not the prior close. We publish the misses too: https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/

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