What is the Catalyst Edge convergence score for MSFT?

As of 2026-11-05, MSFT has a convergence score of 7 with conviction tier WATCH and 15 independent signals firing. Score is a weighted aggregate across SEC filings, insider activity, options flow, dark-pool prints, short-squeeze metrics, and macro regime.

How is MSFT's score calculated?

Each signal contributes weighted points; weights are auto-tuned weekly against published outcome history. Full methodology + audit at https://catalystedgescanner.com/methodology/ and https://catalystedgescanner.com/trust/.

How accurate has Catalyst Edge been on MSFT?

On the last 6 published picks featuring MSFT, 0 hit the +2% intraday threshold (0% hit rate). Outcomes audited daily.

Catalyst Edge · Scanner · Tickers · MSFT

CATALYST DOSSIER · UPDATED 2026-11-05

$MSFT

tech_mega · convergence 7 · conviction WATCH

Convergence Score

Conviction

WATCH

Signals Firing

Track Record

0/6

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Why $MSFT?

MSFT 7 WATCH tech_mega

Quantitative

Convergence score: 7 (15 signals firing YoY)

Catalysts

Multi-spoke convergence: 15 convergent signals fired: reddit, finra_short, stocktwits, usa_spend, github

Risks

Hard-to-borrow / FTD risk: Borrow rate 6.0%, distress score 30

Bear case

Squeeze unwind: Short interest can compress before retail catches the move — entry timing critical

Sympathy basket (cerebro)

META via tech_mega r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 4)
QQQ via tech_mega r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 1)
CRM via tech_mega r=+0.00 intra-sector (score 0)
XLK via tech_mega r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -2)
AAPL via tech_mega r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -3)
AMZN via tech_mega r=+0.00 intra-sector (score -4)

Signals Firing

redditfinra_shortstocktwitsusa_spendgithubarxivhnmacroorphan_leanoge_execliquidityauto_edgar_fulltextauto_macro_adp_payrollsauto_macro_durable_goodsauto_macro_fx_rates

Each tag is a spoke that flagged this ticker today. Weights tuned weekly against published outcomes.

Pick Track Record

Date	List	Next-day max run	Next-day close	Hit +2%?
2026-10-23	sec_top_gappers	+1.7%	+1.5%	—
2026-10-23	sec_top_moat_emerging	+1.7%	+1.5%	—
2026-10-22	sec_top_gappers	+0.9%	+0.7%	—
2026-10-22	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.9%	+0.7%	—
2026-10-21	sec_top_gappers	+0.1%	-2.2%	—
2026-10-21	sec_top_moat_emerging	+0.1%	-2.2%	—

Lifetime: 0/6 wins · hit-rate 0.0% on +2% intraday

Sympathy Basket

METAvia tech_mega · score 4
QQQvia tech_mega · score 1
CRMvia tech_mega · score 0
XLKvia tech_mega · score -2
AAPLvia tech_mega · score -3
AMZNvia tech_mega · score -4

Tickers Catalyst Edge tracks as moving with this name. Cross-correlation derived from sector + score-cohort proximity.

Earnings Catalyst

No recent earnings event.

Auto-generated from public filings + tier-1 wires. Catalyst Edge publishes its picks and its losses — see the trust report and methodology. Not financial advice. Confirm independently before trading.

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